Namibia could make history this week by electing its first female leader head of state, but the governing Swapo party’s hopes face challenges from widespread anti-incumbency sentiments and growing disillusionment with liberation movements in southern Africa.
Swapo’s candidate, 72-year-old Vice-President Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, aims to become only the second female president on the continent, alongside Tanzania’s Samia Suluhu Hassan. However, Swapo, which has ruled since independence in 1990, enters the race weakened by declining public support, economic struggles, corruption concerns, and persistent inequality. In the last general election, its dominance eroded significantly.
Standing as her main rival is Panduleni Itula, leader of the Independent Patriots for Change (IPC) party. A trained dentist and former Swapo member, Itula has gained popularity among younger voters, who make up half of the electorate and are eager for economic reforms. His bold and modern style contrasts sharply with Nandi-Ndaitwah’s deliberate and collaborative approach.
Nandi-Ndaitwah, who joined Swapo as a teenager, has dedicated her life to the liberation struggle and governance, serving in various ministerial roles over 25 years. Known for her pragmatism and incorruptible reputation, she appeals to grassroots supporters and those favoring continuity.
Itula, on the other hand, represents change. Expelled from Swapo in 2020 after challenging its candidate selection process, he has since positioned himself as a fresh alternative. His IPC party has gained traction, particularly in urban areas, and has demonstrated effectiveness in local governance.
The rivalry has led analysts to predict a close race that might require a second-round runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Key issues like youth unemployment, corruption, healthcare, education, and economic stability will likely determine the winner. Both candidates face the challenge of balancing resource exploitation, including offshore gas and lithium reserves, with sustainable development.
Recent trends in neighboring countries, such as coalition governance in South Africa and the defeat of long-dominant parties in Botswana, underscore the shifting political landscape. Swapo is determined to avoid a similar fate, while voters weigh their options between the seasoned leadership of Nandi-Ndaitwah and Itula’s promise of change.
