The sudden termination of US funding for HIV programs across Africa is a devastating blow that threatens to reverse decades of progress in the fight against the disease. Organizations working with vulnerable communities, including orphans, pregnant women, transgender individuals, and sex workers, are now facing an abrupt shutdown, raising serious concerns about a surge in HIV-related deaths and a collapse of essential services. Doctors and program managers warn that without alternative funding, the impact will be catastrophic, with modeling suggesting that South Africa alone could see an additional 500,000 deaths over the next decade.
The US government’s decision to cut more than 90% of its USAID contracts and slash $60 billion in overseas aid has sent shockwaves through the global health community. Notices of termination have been received by organizations in multiple countries, including Malawi, Zambia, Tanzania, Zimbabwe, and even the joint United Nations program UNAIDS. The Elizabeth Glaser Paediatric AIDS Foundation, which provides treatment to over 350,000 people in Lesotho, Eswatini, and Tanzania, has been forced to halt operations, leaving thousands of HIV-positive pregnant women without access to life-saving antiretroviral drugs. Health experts have called the decision a “death sentence” for countless individuals who rely on these services.
The consequences extend beyond individual patients to the entire healthcare system. Thousands of healthcare workers, including counselors, data capturers, and frontline medical staff, are losing their jobs, further straining already fragile healthcare infrastructure. In South Africa, where approximately eight million people live with HIV, the funding cuts jeopardize critical programs that had filled gaps in government services, such as clinics providing stigma-free healthcare for transgender people and sex workers. Researchers and public health specialists who had been optimistic about scientific breakthroughs, including long-acting injectable prevention drugs and potential HIV vaccines, now fear that progress will stall as research funding is withdrawn.
What makes the situation even more alarming is the speed at which these cuts are being implemented. Instead of a gradual transition that could allow governments to take over funding, programs have been forced to shut down almost overnight. In response, activists and healthcare professionals in South Africa are urging their government to step up and fill the funding gap, but given the country’s economic challenges, this will be a difficult task. Meanwhile, the international community faces a critical moment—without swift intervention from global donors or diplomatic pressure on the US government, the world could witness one of the most significant public health setbacks in recent history.